Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.610868 0.677536 0.749648 0.833641 0.929028 1.034268 1.159548
2025-08-31 0.499828 0.590251 0.695635 0.828350 0.992176 1.189269 1.446582
2025-09-07 0.440198 0.541867 0.666419 0.831865 1.048325 1.325333 1.712239
2025-09-14 0.390997 0.497006 0.632023 0.819100 1.075571 1.420768 1.930818
2025-09-21 0.354357 0.462776 0.605486 0.810510 1.103233 1.515142 2.155228
2025-09-28 0.316747 0.422906 0.566474 0.779022 1.093014 1.551871 2.296593
2025-10-05 0.300630 0.410464 0.563144 0.796264 1.153035 1.695484 2.617524
2025-10-12 0.285513 0.397773 0.557771 0.809059 1.206410 1.833368 2.946799
2025-10-19 0.270311 0.383495 0.548488 0.814370 1.247622 1.955172 3.264646
2025-10-26 0.256616 0.370230 0.539352 0.818524 1.286509 2.076268 3.597225
2025-11-02 0.245390 0.359741 0.533399 0.826780 1.332306 2.213295 3.978279
2025-11-09 0.229236 0.340485 0.512230 0.807986 1.329412 2.262975 4.197037
2025-11-16 0.220374 0.332276 0.508327 0.818301 1.379609 2.417033 4.653786
2025-11-23 0.209072 0.319439 0.496005 0.813090 1.401218 2.519939 5.021763
2025-11-30 0.200458 0.310340 0.489091 0.816530 1.438772 2.657616 5.488016
2025-12-07 0.189698 0.297004 0.474080 0.804043 1.444408 2.731323 5.820966
2025-12-14 0.180533 0.285776 0.461896 0.795640 1.456965 2.820411 6.205409
2025-12-21 0.168381 0.268805 0.438686 0.764833 1.421682 2.803351 6.325936
2025-12-28 0.164734 0.266208 0.440565 0.781703 1.485217 3.009357 7.051528
2026-01-04 0.160629 0.262550 0.440260 0.794220 1.540791 3.204564 7.788975
2026-01-11 0.155710 0.257165 0.436440 0.799416 1.581073 3.369439 8.477584
2026-01-18 0.150941 0.251775 0.432253 0.803479 1.619172 3.533965 9.200955
2026-01-25 0.146989 0.247641 0.430136 0.811555 1.667014 3.728765 10.059603